In today’s update I’m going over our game plan as the market progresses into a key time factor.
One thing is very clear to me, right now the market is completely split. Everyone is uncertain, nobody wants to take risk, and the dominant view is that things still need to go lower and the war will drag on much longer.
But under the surface, our data and the market data is telling a different story. Positioning is shifting to risk, large players are getting long, and we’re hitting a cluster of major time windows while the market is due for a big move.
Most people are going to miss this because they’re waiting for clarity that won’t come until price is much higher. But when the market refuses to go lower on bad news and nobody is positioned for upside, that’s usually the tell. This is the type of environment where major moves start, and we are seeing that behavior reflected in the price action. It’s a classic instance of watching what is doing well versus what you think should be doing well.
